FREE GEOPOLITICAL NEWSLETTER

estonia

For current reports go to EASY FINDER

ESTONIA


 



In-depth Business Intelligence 

Key Economic Data 
 
  2003 2002 2001 Ranking(2003)
GDP
Millions of US $ 8,383 6,413 5,500 95
         
GNI per capita
 US $ 3,870 4,130 3,870 72
Ranking is given out of 208 nations - (data from the World Bank)

Books on Estonia

 


Update No: 318 - (27/06/07)

The seasoned political youngster
Estonian governments usually don't last very long. There have been thirteen since independence in 1991. It doesn't matter too much because they all have had basically the same ideas since then, namely do whatever the Russians tell you not to do. Also stick to the young. 

Andrus Ansip is the current Prime Minister of Estonia, who is doing better than the average over two years after coming to office. At 50 he is rather older than his predecessors, but still politically young in Western terms. His first cabinet took office on April 12, 2005 after being approved by the Riigikogu by 53 members out of 101. 

His cabinet was formed with pragmatic considerations in mind, as it consisted of ministers from different positions on the political spectrum, the free market liberal Reform Party of Estonia, which presses for reform, the more populist and personalist Estonian Centre Party and the even more populist agrarian People's Union of Estonia. 

The Reform Party and the People's Union had participated in the previous government lead by Juhan Parts (of the conservative Res Publica). Parts resigned on March 24, 2005 after his Minister of Interior Ken-Marti Vaher (also members of Res Publica) was sacked by the Riigikogu. The continuity of Estonian politics is shown by the fact that Parts is now the Economics Minister, as demanding and vital a job as the premiership itself.

The first cyber-war in history
Estonia is in a serious spat with Russia. The recent cyber attacks on Estonian government networks were likely carried out by politically motivated hacker gangs, not Russian security agencies, as some early reports suggested, according to assessments conducted by the U.S. government and the private sector. The cyber attacks hit Web sites across the country, from newspapers to schools to the defence ministry, and appear to have stemmed initially from Russia, where the Kremlin has denied waging a cyber war against Estonia. 

The cyber attacks coincided with a sharp deterioration in relations between Moscow and the small Baltic state over Estonia's decision to relocate a Soviet-era war memorial from the centre of the capital Tallinn. The decision enraged Moscow, which threatened sanctions. Street clashes between police and Russian speakers broke out and the Internet sites of the president's office, parliament, ministries, newspapers and banks were jammed. The attacks peaked on May 8 and 9--during events in Russia and the Baltics marking the anniversary of the World War Two victory over the Nazis.

A bit of diplomacy
"It is clear this is criminal activity. I hope Russia will co-operate in those cases with Estonia," Ansip told a news conference in Helsinki. 

The official Estonian position is that the Kremlin is not behind it. Indeed an official Kremlin source insists this is so. But, in the immortal words of Christine Keeler: "He would, wouldn't he?"

The Estonian justice minister, less diplomatically, insists that he is convinced the Kremlin was behind the cyber attacks, indeed that the Russians even had the cheek to use obvious Kremlin-based computers for the job, which is not to say that there was not some private Russian mischief-making going on too. 

The brazen way someone in Russia ordered the death of Litvinenko last year in London by turning him into a nuclear device was making it quite clear, despite official denials, that somebody high up was behind it all. The cyber war is reminiscent of that.

The first cyber-war in history revisited
It is possible that the highest in the Kremlin are not responsible after all, but rogue elements therein. Such seems to be the upshot of authoritative views in the US. 

The attacks were crude so-called distributed denial of service, or DDoS, attacks, utilizing global networks, or botnets, of compromised computers, known as slaves, or zombies, often owned by careless individuals, 'including some in the United States,' according to a statement from Mike Witt, deputy director of the US Cyber Emergency Response Team.
The team, known by the acronym US-CERT, is the element within the Department of Homeland Security that 'coordinates defence against and responses to cyber attacks across the nation,' according to its Web site.

'US-CERT became involved after NATO, of which Estonia is a member, contacted the US for computer incident response assistance to a cyber attack,' said Witt in the statement. His team 'worked with an international group -- the Forum of Incident Response and Security Teams, or FIRST -- to coordinate a global response to the attacks, which were carried out by computers scattered across the globe,' he said.

The Witt statement did not address the question of the origin of the attacks, but former senior US cybersecurity official Bruce Brody said analysts in both the private sector and the US government had told him 'the prevailing assessment' was that no 'state actor' was behind the attacks. 'This was a brute force, crude attack,' he told UPI, 'without the elegance and precision' characterizing the sophisticated cyber-warfare capabilities of major powers.

Professor James Hendler, former chief scientist at the Pentagon`s Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, described the attacks as 'more like a cyber riot than a military attack.'

Such politically motivated attacks by organized hacker networks -- known to specialists as 'hactivism' -- were also seen against Danish Web sites after the publications of cartoons of the Prophet Mohammed in a magazine there.

'The size of the cyber attack, while it was certainly significant to the Estonian government, from a technical standpoint is not something we would consider significant in scale,' said Witt, adding he believed the United States would be able to defend itself easily against attacks on a similar scale. 'While no one is immune to cyber attacks,' he said US government networks were 'more sophisticated, extensive and diverse,' making them 'less susceptible to disruptions or attacks.'

DDoS attacks work by getting the networks of slave computers to bombard the systems being attacked with requests for information -- overloading them and causing the Web servers to crash.

Hendler told UPI that DDoS attacks 'are moving lower and lower down the list of (cyber) threats,' but added this was generally because they are poorly targeted. Like any other weapon, he said, the effectiveness of DDoS attacks could be maximized by careful targeting -- for instance, of a crucial system at a particular time it was likely to be very busy, or vulnerable to overload for some other reason.

'You could do it surgically,' he said. 'If you did some work, you could probably find information-critical (US government) systems that could be brought down ... with a big enough attack.'

On the other hand, he said, 'the government is pretty attuned to the possibilities of these types of attacks' and had taken extensive counter-measures.

Witt said a key challenge in countering botnets was identifying the source, 'in part because of sophisticated new peer-to-peer type structures now being adopted by hackers.'
By employing so-called peer-to-peer technology, 'where the network is recruited and organized horizontally, from one compromised computer to another, rather than vertically, with each reaching back to the origin, it is much more difficult to track and source the hackers behind the attacks,' he said.

« Top

FOREIGN COOPERATION

Investment agreement inked with Cambodian city


Cambodia's major seaport city and travel destination, Sihanoukville, signed an agreement with Estonia's tourism city, Maardu, to seek mutual investment and cooperation, local media reported on May 18, cited by English People's Daily Online. 
"This agreement will help improve the investment and development cooperation between the two cities," Cambodian daily newspaper the Koh Sonthephea quoted Sihanoukville Governor Say Hak as saying. While signing the agreement on May 16th, Maardu Mayor Georgy Bystrov showed appreciation for the achievements of Sihanoukville, according to the paper. During his trip to Sihanoukville, Bystrov visited the industrial, commercial, tourism and cultural areas of the city, as well as the seaport, the paper added.

« Top

FOREIGN RELATIONS

Emperor Akihito receives warm welcome on Baltics visit

On May 24th, Japan's Emperor Akihito arrived in Estonia on the first visit of a Japanese ruler to the Baltic states. The 73-year-old monarch and his wife, Empress Michiko, were welcomed to the smallest and northernmost of the three Baltic states by 53-year-old President, Toomas Hendrik Ilves, and his wife, Eveli, New Europe reported. 
In a ceremony at the Estonian presidential palace of Kadriorg, the emperor was introduced to the Estonian government and leading civil and military dignitaries on an overcast and blustery day. Watched by an estimated 150 onlookers, he inspected a guard of honour before proceeding to a state dinner in the palace. Kadriorg is itself an imperial building, having been founded by Russia's tsar Peter I and named after his wife Catherine. 
During their meeting, the emperor and president presented one another with their national orders of merit, the Japanese Supreme Order of the Chrysanthemum and the Estonian Terra Mariana Cross, presidential spokeswoman Kristel Peterson was cited by dpa as confirming. And they exchanged complimentary toasts before proceeding to a concert given by massed children's choirs. 
"I am glad to acknowledge that our peoples hold many similar and everlasting values. We highly value peace and the opportunity for free self-realisation - these are natural parts of being a person," Ilves was quoted as telling his guests. "Your country, as a part of Europe, has resolutely travelled the road towards democratisation, as well as economic and social development; and I would like to express my sincere esteem for the profound wisdom and perseverance of the Estonian people," the emperor replied, according to a presidential press release. 
The concert was held at the Estonian Song Festival grounds, an open-air arena capable of housing 100,000 people. A choir of some 2,500 schoolchildren sang songs dating from Estonia's struggle for independence from the USSR to an equal number of listeners. "Singing is the most important Estonian tradition. It's the best way to welcome him," a schoolboy named Oskar was quoted as saying in a comment echoed by many other listeners. 
And the emperor then made a brief public appearance at Tallinn's mediaeval town hall, where a crowd of several hundred people gathered to catch a glimpse of the world's only emperor. "It's important for a country as small as Estonia to have such guests. It's a very, very important visit," the Estonian wife of one of the country's top sushi producers, Tagi Hammaja, was quoted by dpa as saying. The emperor's visit has been interpreted in the Estonian media as a rare compliment to the small country (population 1.35 million), which joined the European Union and NATO in 2004. 
In the 18 years since he ascended the Chrysanthemum Throne, the emperor has visited 19 countries, according to the website of the Imperial Household Agency, dpa reported. The current visit comes as part of a five-country tour of Sweden, the Baltic states and the UK. 

« Top

ECONOMIC NEWS

Widening trade gap in March

Robust increase in vehicle imports led to a widening trade gap for the Estonian economy in March, recent official statistics showed, sptimes reported 
Estonia's trade deficit widened by an annual 24 percent in March. The March deficit increased to 4.6 billion kroons (US$400 million), up from a revised 3.2 billion kroons in February and 3.7 billion kroons in March of last year, the Tallinn-based statistics agency said in an e-mailed statement on May 28th.  

« Top

« Back

 


 
Published by 
Newnations (a not-for-profit company)
PO Box 12 Monmouth 
United Kingdom NP25 3UW 
Fax: UK +44 (0)1600 890774
enquiries@newnations.com