FREE GEOPOLITICAL NEWSLETTER

russia  

For current reports go to EASY FINDER

RUSSIA


  
  

 

Key Economic Data 
 
  2003 2002 2001 Ranking(2003)
GDP
Millions of US $ 433,491 346,520 310,000 16
         
GNI per capita
 US $ 2,610 2,140 1,750 97
Ranking is given out of 208 nations - (data from the World Bank)

Books on Russia

REPUBLICAN REFERENCE

Area (sq.km)
17,075,400

Population
143,782,338

Principal 
ethnic groups 
Russians 82%
Tatars 3.3%
Ukrainians 2.7%

Principal towns 
Moscow (capital)
St Petersburg
Novosibirsk 
Nizhni Novgorod 
Yekaterinburg 
Samara 

Currency 
Rouble

President 
Vladimir Putin



Update No: 306- (29/06/06)

The Yankee schoolmaster scolds in vain
The relationship between the US and Russia is fundamental to world politics. It is also vital to the politics of each nation, but much more so for Russia than its opposite number, now the only superpower left.
Yet Dick Cheney is quite wrong to think that he can hector Moscow into acquiescence with Washington's wishes and Western norms. He upbraided the Russian government in early May from the vantage-point of the Baltic states for its transgressions against liberal norms and civilized values. He does not realize that, as Rock Brinner (son of Yul Brinner) puts it: "It is not through badgering that the United States can influence Russia, especially at a time when the moral influence of the Bush Administration has completely evaporated."
Indeed, one can see why, when his next port of call was Kazakstan, where he praised its president, Nursultan Nazarbayev, for his progressive policies, a ruler who has his main opponent in prison whose two remaining political rivals were professionally murdered within a few days of the recent presidential election, after the media circus had left town, and who exercises as tight a control over parliament, the media and public life in general as the Russian leader. Naturally oil was the chief topic of discussion and its transportation via the Caspian Sea by-passing Russia.

The image of the West on the slide
It is not just Cheney who is viewed with disfavour right now in Russia. The West's standing in general is no longer what it was. 
As Andrei Grachev, former adviser to Gorbachev, puts it: "The "West" was never a purely geographical notion for Russian Westernisers, whether the democratic intelligentsia that traces its origins to the times of Peter the Great or the reformers who entered politics on the wave of Mikhail Gorbachev's perestroika.
"The West was a political program - not one by which Russia was meant to catch up with developed countries by borrowing their traditions and their way of life, but
one by which it would be transformed into a member of a universal democratic society. 
"Gorbachev's idea of a "Common European Home" envisioned uniting Russia with European history and Western civilization, whose geographical borders would stretch from Vancouver to Vladivostok. He held out the promise of a shared future. 
"It was the launch of this project, which required an internal democratic revolution and liberation from the totalitarian regime, that led to the opening to the West and eventually the end of the Cold War." 
But now, the IMF and other Western forces are held responsible for the disasters of the 1990s that followed that mighty event, 'shock therapy,' the highly dubious privatisation of the mid-1990s and the collapse of the rouble in 1998 that wiped out the middle class. These are deeply resented by the population at large.
Among the elite there are grudges of a more geopolitical kind. As Grachev puts it: "The hasty expansion of NATO; the unilateral U.S. withdrawal from the ABM treaty; the American military bases along Russian borders from the Baltic states and Poland to the Caucasus and Central Asia; the active support for "orange revolutions" with a distinct anti-Russian flavour - all these methodical steps by the American administration, regardless of their motivation, have been seen in Moscow as elements of a strategic "containment" of Russia, as a revamped version of the old policy of 'rolling back Communism.' " 
While Gorbachev was seen as a Western stooge and Yeltsin as a Western dupe, Putin is regarded as a true Russian patriot who can deliver on his promises. He has had the great quality that Napoleon prized in his generals - luck. He took over in 2000 just when everything was going Russia's way in the world market, above all the soaring price of oil. He is indubitably genuinely popular, re-elected by 70% in 2004. Current polls put him even higher.
The temptation to change the constitution and stand again in 2008 must be very great. But he is apparently resisting it.

Les Colombes-des-Eglises option
It is possible that he is reasoning that he is young enough, barely 50, to retire from the scene for four or eight years and then come back for another four or eight years in 2012 or 2016 when he would still be younger than most of his predecessors on coming to supreme power. There is nothing in the constitution that precludes a third term for a president, only a consecutive third term.
He might well reflect on the great career of De Gaulle here, a titan of modern times. De Gaulle was 55 when he voluntarily vacated power in January 1946 (he did not want to be the French leader who accepted Marshall Aid to rehabilitate France after the war, an inevitable, but humiliating business in De Gaulle's view). 
De Gaulle was widely regarded as finished in the early 1950s. But, as he had presciently foreseen, the regime of parties under the Fourth Republic was bankrupt and would be quite unable to cope with the problem of Algeria, which only he could resolve. He came back in triumph in 1958; and on his own terms. The Fifth Republic was born the next year.
Nothing so dramatic is likely to happen to Putin. But he is a man with a sense of history, modelling himself on Peter the Great, To splice the Petrine tradition with the Gaullist one might appeal to his sense of destiny.
After all, running Russia must be one of the most onerous jobs in the world. If no great mishap occurs between now and mid-2008, he would depart, trailing clouds of glory. He could then have a well-earned rest, bring up his adolescent daughters until their coming of age and return a refreshed man for another stab at it, after due reflection on his mistakes first time round. He would of course be a marvel, celebrated around the world. The many critics of Russia's slide away from democracy, including ourselves, would have to reconsider our approach.
He must know that the Chechen War is a disaster - but one he needed in very murky circumstances to come to power. It is excruciatingly difficult for him to end it for that very reason; it was the source of his original popularity and legitimacy. He no longer needs it. But how to extricate Russia from it without losing face? Let somebody else do so. Then he can duly make a triumphant comeback.
This is highly speculative of course. But it squares with his behaviour and apparent equanimity at the prospect of losing power.
But, if this scenario is correct, it is of the utmost importance who succeeds him.

Power struggle unfolds for the succession
A power struggle is developing that is widely being interpreted as being over the succession. A key post in Russia is that of the prosecutor-general's. The holder of it since 1999 has been Vladimir Ustinov. The prosecutor has been obliged by Putin to resign, which he duly did in early June, only a week after he had promised to disclose "new so-called high-profile criminal cases" involving government corruption.
Political figures and analysts outside the government split over the meaning of Ustinov's departure. Some suggested that Ustinov had done little to combat corruption seriously, while others said his blunt remarks about corruption might have been seen as about to do too much. It can be one, or the other, but not both!
"The motive behind this sacking is political. The president is establishing a balance of power between opposing clans" ahead of legislative elections in 2007 and presidential polls in 2008, the liberal daily Gazeta said. "In the coming six months, there will be changes affecting all branches of power."
According to a source close to the Kremlin quoted by business daily Vedomosti, "the prosecutor's recent statements about corruption were political and the president wasn't keen on a close alliance" between Ustinov, the top Putin aide Igor Sechin and Moscow Mayor Yuri Luzhkov. "Ustinov's departure is the start of a series of other moves within the corridors of power," Vedomosti averred.
Ustinov presided over the country's most prominent prosecutions, including that of Mikhail Khodorkovsky, once the chairman of Yukos Oil and the richest man in Russia. 
Ustinov also oversaw controversial investigations into Russia's worst accidents and terrorist attacks, including the accidental sinking of the nuclear submarine Kursk and hostage seizures at a Moscow theatre in 2002 and a school in Beslan in 2004. 
Olga Kryshtanovskaya, a sociologist who has written extensively about the Kremlin hierarchy, said that Ustinov was "practically stupid" to speak openly about the extent of criminality and corruption in Russia, though Putin himself has also denounced those aspects of his country in public statements. "Putin had been doing everything he can to improve Russia's image," she said in a telephone interview. "He didn't want the image of a country where the mafia is in charge of everything." 
She and others attributed Ustinov's departure to a struggle among Putin's cadre of advisers, one that waxes and wanes as speculation mounts over whom Putin will anoint as his successor. 
Ustinov was widely regarded as a hawk among the Putin advisers from security and law-enforcement backgrounds. 
Another faction is made up of aides who are viewed as comparatively liberal and who are aligned with a Putin protégé, Dmitri Medvedev, who is now both the first deputy prime minister and the chairman of Gazprom, the state-controlled energy company. 
In a research note, Goldman Sachs said, "The departure of Ustinov is an important victory for liberals in the government," and cited "what appears to be an ongoing power struggle behind the scenes." 

Chechen leader slain
Meanwhile the utterly futile Chechen war continues. The unofficial president of rebel Chechenya, a leader of their mainstream non-islamist wing (in distinction to Shamil Basayev), Abdulkhamid Saidullayev, has been killed in a special operation, officials in the Moscow-backed Chechen government said on June 17.
Russian media said Saidullayev was killed in a "special operation" that took place in the Chechen city of Argun, east of the Chechen capital Grozny. 
Chechen Prime Minister, in Russia's puppet government, Ramzan Kadyrov, characterised the killing of Saidullayev as a major success in the Russian fight against Chechen fighters, Interfax News Agency said. "They have been dealt a decisive blow from which they will never recover," he was quoted as saying.
The Kremlin-backed Chechen president, Alu Alkhanov, hailed the reported killing of Saidullayev. "He was never any kind of president," Interfax quoted Alkhanov as saying.
The small mountainous republic of Chechnya has been ravaged by conflict since 1994, with just three years of relative peace after the first war between Russian forces and Chechen fighters ended in August 1996 and the second broke out in October 1999.
At least 100,000 civilians and 10,000 Russian troops are estimated to have been killed in both wars, but human rights groups have said the real numbers could be much higher.
Thousands of refugees from war-torn Chechnya live in battered tent camps in neighbouring Ingushetia and refuse to return home because of continuing insecurity.

Maskhadov's Successor
Russia's policy in Chechnya has worked out: kill the moderate leaders and thereby strengthen the hand of the extremists so that the war can be continued indefinitely. It should never be forgotten that there are a lot of people in the Russian armed forces and attached to them making a lot of money out of the war. War material keeps disappearing, which can always be explained away in a war-time situation.
This was pointed out by the late lamented General Lebed, who negotiated the end of the first conflict in 1996 with Aslan Mashkadov, the only person to have been elected president in a reasonably fair election. It is convenient for many in the Kremlin and the armed forces that Lebed met his end in a helicopter crash in deepest Siberia a few years ago.
Saidullayev, thought to be in his mid- to late-30s, was chosen in March 2005 to succeed Maskhadov, after he was also killed by Russian special forces. Chechen fighters said at the time that Saidullayev was Maskhadov's hand-picked successor as commander-in-chief and political leader of their movement.
Akkhmed Zakayev, a former minister in Maskhadov's Chechen government who now lives in exile in Britain, described Saidullayev at the time as "a very balanced, very responsible person who enjoys wide authority among the resistance."
But pro-Moscow authorities in Chechnya dismissed Saidullayev as nothing more than a front for Shamil Basayev who became after Maskhadov's death the undisputed leader of an estimated 1,000 to 5,000 active Chechen fighters. Basayev is a consummate fanatical Islamist, responsible for many terrorist horrors. He has boasted of many an outrage, but never claimed the series of outrages in 1999 that set off the second Chechen War so very, very conveniently for Putin (his popularity was on 2% in August of that year, but soared by Christmas; he was duly elected president in March 2000). Famously, allegations outside of Russia (of course), were made that it was Putin supporters that were responsible for the 1999 Moscow bombings to create the backlash that indeed did see Putin convincingly win the presidency.
Before his assassination, Maskhadov had said Basayev would be put on trial for masterminding the hostage siege in Beslan, which killed more than 330 civilians, once fighting between Chechen fighters and the Russian army came to an end.
Maskhadov, who was elected president in Chechnya's only free presidential poll, had admitted that he disagreed with Basayev in targeting civilians as a means to combat the Russian occupation. That is why Moscow had to eliminate him, perhaps, as many suspect, his whereabouts were betrayed by the Basayevites. It would never do to have a moderate Chechen leader. 

« Top

BANKING

VTB still to receive offer to sell its IMB share 


Russia's Vneshtorgbank (VTB) has not yet received any concrete offers to sell its share in International Moscow Bank, Interfax News Agency reported, citing VTB Chairman Andrei Kostin.
A regional meeting is currently underway in Krasnodar dealing with the development of Vneshtorgbank's regional business. Vneshtorgbank (VTB) is planning to buy banks in Azerbaijan, Kazakstan and Belarus by the end of this year, added Kostin. Vneshtorgbank plans to approve a concept for developing its foreign banks in Asia and Europe in June, Kostin told journalists.
He said the concept for developing VTB subsidiaries abroad would be approved in parts. He said VTB plans to put together an application to open a bank in China in the near future, and work is being carried out simultaneously to set up a joint bank with Vietnam. Kostin said that this work should be completed by the end of the year. 
Regarding plans to develop business in Western Europe, Kostin said VTB hopes to set up a large banking holding company in Western Europe, headquartered in London, with the working title VTB-Europe.
"This issue is currently being studied in great detail by oversight bodies in European countries," he said. He also said that over the next 12 months VTB plans to increase the number of its foreign subsidiaries from 11 to 20.

« Top

CREDIT RATINGS

Moody's announces new ratings for 7 banks 

Moody's Investors Service published on May 29th the results of an examination of financial institution ratings in Russia in light of the revision of its rating methodology for assigning foreign currency country bond ceilings, the agency said in a press release, New Europe reported.
In November 2005, Moody's published a Request for Comment, entitled "Revised Policy with Respect to Country Ceilings." Based on supportive market responses, Moody's decided to revise its methodology for assigning foreign currency country bond ceilings.
The revised methodology resulted in upgrades to the foreign currency bond ceilings of a number of countries. The higher ceilings reflect Moody's view that in many countries, even if the government were to default on its own foreign currency debt, the probability of a foreign currency moratorium is less than 100 per cent.
Most of the foreign currency debt and foreign currency issuer ratings that are now being upgraded were previously constrained at the old foreign currency debt ceilings. This constraint reflected Moody's earlier view of the risk that such obligations could be captured by a foreign currency payments moratorium in the event that the government defaulted on its own foreign currency debt.
Following the upgrades, a number of these ratings (those below the new foreign currency debt ceiling of the domicile of the issuer or its parent bank) are no longer constrained by this risk. 
Other ratings are being upgraded to the new ceiling but remain constrained by the moratorium risk still reflected in the revised ceilings. The latest rating actions have no impact on any foreign currency deposit ratings. The revision to Moody's methodology applies only to the foreign currency ceiling for bonds and notes. Existing foreign currency country ceilings for bank deposits are not affected.
Moody's foreign currency bank deposit ceilings will continue to be more directly related to government foreign currency bond ratings, reflecting the risk that a freeze on foreign currency bank deposits is more likely to be imposed in the event of a government bond default even in the absence of a generalised foreign currency moratorium.

Fitch rates Russian Agriculture Bank's Eurobond programme 

Fitch Ratings has assigned RSHB Capital S.A.'s (RSHB) new US$1.5 billion limited recourse program of loan participation notes a final Long-term rating of BBB (for senior notes with maturities in excess of one year) and Short-term F3 (for senior notes with maturities of less than one year), Interfax News Agency reported, citing the ratings agency. 
Fitch has also assigned a final Long-term BBB rating to the US$700 million 7.175 per cent issue due May 2013, which was the first under the programme, the release read. The program is to be used solely for financing loans to Russian Agricultural Bank (RAB), which is rated Issuer Default (IDR) BBB, Short-term F3, Individual D/E, Support 2, and National Long-term AAA(rus). A Stable Outlook is in place for both the IDR and National Long-term ratings. RSHB will only pay noteholders amounts (principal and interest) received from RAB under the loan agreement.

S&P raises Evraz group, Mastercroft ratings to BB- 

Standard & Poor's Ratings Services raised its ratings on Russian steel company Evraz Group S.A. and its core subsidiary Mastercroft Ltd. to BB- from B+, the ratings agency said in a press release, New Europe reported.
This follows the strong profitability and cash flow generation posted by the group in 2005, its demonstrated progress in group consolidation, and successful integration of recently acquired assets, the release said. At the same time, the ruAA- Russia national scale ratings on Evraz and Mastercroft were affirmed. The outlook is stable. "The rating action reflects another year of profitable and cash-generative consolidated operations, following the group's consolidation of its trading operations in 2004 and mining assets in 2004-2005," said Standard & Poor's credit analyst Yelena Anankina. In 2005, group EBITDA was US$1.8 billion (28 per cent margin) and free operating cash flow (FOCF) was US$709 million (compared with US$326 million in 2004). Although Evraz's strategy remains acquisitive, the group has avoided overly large and risky transactions, focusing on acquiring moderate-size assets. Evraz has been successful in integrating its targets, as illustrated by the acquisitions of Vitkovice Steel, Palini e Bertoli, and a stake in Yuzhkuzbassugol in 2005.

« Top

ENERGY

Rosneft will press ahead with US$10bn IPO

Rosneft, a Russian oil group recently confirmed that it was pressing ahead with an initial public offering to raise US$10bn in spite of turbulent market conditions, kicking off the official countdown to one of the most controversial transactions in Russian corporate history. The company's "intention to float" announcement received a boost from the first-quarter earnings showing net profit rising 10.8 per cent to US$802m, according to US GAAP.
Peter O'Brien, Rosneft's chief financial officer, said the offering was likely to raise approximately US$10bn. This will mainly cover the US$7.5bn of debt which Rosneftegaz, the state entity which owns Rosneft, raised last year to buy 10.7 per cent of Gazprom. The rest of the money will go towards covering substantial capital gains taxes owed by Rosneftegaz following the share sale, and other taxes.
Rosneft is planning to list on July 14th, just one day before the G8 nations hold their summit in St Petersburg, according to people familiar with the preparations, though they said the timetable was still fluid. They said the roadshow to investors would start on June 26th, when the company's prospectus is also expected to be published.
The offering by Rosneft, which some analysts say could be valued at between US$70bn and US$80bn after the flotation, will be a challenge to bankers pricing the shares, not least because of the recent volatility in the global stock markets.
The IPO is also being dogged by the controversy over the acquisition of Yuganskneftegaz, Rosneft's main asset, acquired in a forced auction from Yukos, the company built by Mikhail Khordorkovsky, the jailed Russian oligarch. Some investors have expressed concerns that the IPO raises serious legal and corporate governance questions.
The size of Rosneft's IPO has already been cut down from what was originally mooted to be up to US$20bn. Mr O'Brien said the size was scaled down in March because the company was generating enough cash as a result of higher oil prices than nine months ago.
He added that the company also had an option to sell 400m additional shares. The proceeds would go towards capital expenditure, further debt reduction and new licence acquisitions.
However, some analysts said the real reason stemmed from investors' concerns about the political and legal risks attached to the company.
"It will be a tough sale," said one. "There has been a lot of criticism of Rosneft, and investors want a discount, but the government does not want to sell Rosneft cheaply."

Gazprom to build 4-5 floating drilling complexes

Gazprom plans to build 4-5 floating drilling complexes by 2010, Alexander Mandel, general director of Gazflot, Gazprom's operator on the Russian continental shelf, said, Interfax News Agency reported.
Construction will be carried out as part of a Gazprom programme calculated for the period up to 2010, which envisions the construction of specialised floating facilities.
"We need to build our own specialised fleet because we aren't working in standard conditions. The temperature here is virtually 30 degrees below zero everywhere and there are ships in the world that are restricted by temperatures of minus 20, that is we can't rent a ship anywhere in the world. And not one ship can resemble another because each one is set up for certain specific tasks. Therefore, various platforms will be built - extraction and complex platforms that will carry out certain tasks for constructing fields and developing them," Mandel said. In total, the programme envisions the construction of 20-30 floating facilities of different classes, including tankers to transport oil and gas and so-called gas carriers, in addition to towboats and ships for the transportation of loose materials and other floating facilities.
"We will place orders everywhere. We have an enterprise in Russia, in particular there is the Zvyozdochka plant in Severodvinsk Plant, there is a shipbuilding plant in St Petersburg, the Baltiisky Shipbuilding Plant. Orders for high-technology ships of the gas carrier type will be placed abroad and we'll try to build the rest in Russia," he said.

North-West Oil, Nord Oil to set up JV 

Russia's North-West Oil Group and Nord Oil International of Canada plan to set up the joint venture Northwest, which will contain their main oil assets in Russia, North-West Oil Group Vice President, Yulia Sozina, said, Interfax News Agency reported.
The companies signed an agreement on May 9th 2006 stating that North-West Oil would own 59% of the venture and Nord Oil - 41 per cent. Northwest will include North-West Oil Group-Saratov and Neftegazenergo, which are owned by North-West Oil, and Nord Oil Samara, Nord Oil Product and NANA A, which are owned by Nord Oil.
Northwest assets will be worth about US$1.25 billion, Sozina said. North-West Oil Group reported on its website that North-West Oil Group-Saratov owns licenses to produce oil at the Goryuchkinskoye, Stepnovskoye, Severo-Vasnetsovskoye and Kalininskoye fields, and licenses to explore the Shalinskoye license area in Saratov region.
North-West Oil Group assets that will not be included in the joint venture include a license for Surgut Seven licence area (Khanty-Mansii Oil Group -MOL), at which seismic work is being carried out.
Nord Oil owns licences to explore and produce oil at the Kammunarskoye, Krasnosamarskoye and Yemelyanovskoye fields in Samara region. Production at these fields is expected at 2.3 million barrels in 2006 and 7.6 million barrels by 2011.

Gazprom eyes cooperation with TNK-BP for Udmurtneft 

Gazprom may consider global cooperation with TNK-BP if it receives Udmurtneft "for free or at a symbolic price," Gazprom Deputy Chairman, Alexander Ryazanov, said, New Europe reported.
"So far the results (of the TNK-BP tender to sell Udmurtneft) are not known. We gave our proposals, which I consider to be rather good from the point of view of project cost," he said. "If TNK-BP gives Udmurtneft for free or for a symbolic price, then other issues can be considered. But for now the price is purely a market price, so we cannot talk about any global cooperation. They sell and we buy as a buyer," said Ryazanov, who is also president of Sibneft. Gazprom, which is keen to develop its oil business, recently acquired a controlling stake in Sibneft.

LUKoil, Gazprom could boost their presence in Colombia 

Russian oil companies LUKoil and Gazprom are planning to expand their presence in Colombia, the Russian Industry & Energy Ministry said in a press release. This was announced at a meeting of the Russian-Colombian Commission on Trade and Scientific Cooperation from May 15-16 in Moscow. "In discussing the prospects for mutual action in the oil and gas sectors, the parties agreed to discuss expanding cooperation with Russian companies, including between LUKoil, Ecopetrol and the National Hydrocarbon Agency to jointly implement new projects on search and exploration in Colombia," the release read, New Europe reported.
Agreement was also reached during the meeting that Gazprom would present an offer to Colombia to develop bilateral cooperation in estimating Colombia's raw materials base, the development of oil fields, building oil refineries and producing liquefied natural gas (LNG). In April 2006, eight companies, including LUKoil, ExxonMobil, BP, Chevron, made it into the final part of a competition to take part in a project organised by Colombian state-run Ecopetrol to develop heavy oil fields.
The winner of the competition will be announced in July and will take part in exploratory work over 17,000 kilometres that are thought to contain up to three billion barrels of oil.
Ecopetrol accounts for about 60 per cent of the 526,000 barrels of oil a day produced in Colombia. Colombia's Meta province can produce up to 200,000 barrels a day.
Ecopetrol is holding another tender for the right to work at the Tibu field on the border with Venezuela. Vintage Petroleum, LUKoil, Brazil's Petrobras and Burlington Resources of the US have won the right to take part in the tender.
The project is estimated at US$200 million and envisions the use of new technology to produce additional amount of oil from existing fields. The results of the tender will be announced in June or July.
LUKoil Overseas and Ecopetrol signed a contract for the Condor block on April 7, 2002. 
The block area amounts to 3,089 square km. The share of LUKoil Overseas in the project is 70 per cent, and Ecopetrol - 30 per cent. LUKoil Overseas Colombia Ltd. is the operator of the project.
Gazprom said that it was interested in diversifying its business by entering Asian and Pacific Rim countries, the Middle East, Central Asia, and Central and South America.

Firtash expands into Russian gas production

Dmytro Firtash, the secretive Ukrainian partner of Russia's state-run natural gas company Gazprom, is expanding into gas production in Russia, the Financial Times reported.
Mr Firtash, who has been a partner of Gazprom since 2004 in RosUkrEnergo, the company that controls the supply of Central Asian gas across Russia, was recently appointed chairman of Askrakhan Oil and Gas, according to officials in Russia's Astrakhan region, which straddles the Volga river delta on the north bank of the Caspian Sea.
Independent gas producers in Russia are obliged to sell on the Russian market but Mr Firtash's partnership with Gazprom is allowed to export gas. RosUkrEnergo is currently the only company besides Gazprom that is allowed to export gas from Russia.
Astrakhan Oil and Gas owns rights to a medium-sized gas field with an estimated 220bn cubic metres of reserves about one-ninth the size of the giant Kovytka gas field in Siberia controlled by the British-Russian joint venture BP-TNK.
Astrakhan's previous owners were reluctant to invest because of Russia's low domestic gas prices and the field's relatively high development costs, which are due its depth and high sulphur content, according to Valery Nesterov, an analyst at Russian broker Troika Dialog.
Russia has come under increasing pressure from the US and European governments to ease its restrictions on exports by independent gas producers in order to spur greater investment and increase Russia's overall gas production. However, the Russian government and Gazprom have said Gazprom will not give up its monopoly on gas pipelines or on gas exports.
In a recent interview with the FT, Mr Firtash argued that RosUkrEnergo helped to increase the security of gas supplies to Europe and said he wanted to develop that role by investing in gas production, storage and pipelines.

« Top

FOREIGN DEBT

Foreign debt falls to US$75bn in Q1 

Russia's foreign debt fell by US$1.3 billion to US$75.182 billion in the first quarter of 2006, Interfax News Agency reported. 
Total government debt dropped by 84.848 billion roubles to 2.992 trillion roubles. Russia's foreign debt fell after it paid off US$826.7 million in loans from foreign countries and US$141.5 million from international financial organisations. Russia also paid off US$314.2 million in foreign bonds in the first quarter, the report says. The foreign debt accounted for 69.8 per cent of total government debt on April, down from 71.5 per cent on January 1. Market debt - Russian government securities denominated in foreign currency - grew to 51 per cent of total foreign debt from 50.5 per cent. Non-market debt - loans provided by foreign governments, international financial organizations, foreign commercial banks and companies to Russia - fell to 49 per cent from 49.5 per cent.

Paris Club ready to hold talks with Russia

The Paris Club of Creditors is ready to hold talks with Russia on early repayment of part of its debt, a finance ministry official said recently, Interfax News Agency reported.
The Club decided to start talks with Russia on early repayment of part of its debt, he said.
"The creditors have only discussed our offer so far and confirmed that they are ready to hold talks with us," the source said. He also said that multilateral talks with Russia could start in June already during the next Paris Club meeting. The Paris Club said in May 2005 that Russia could pay off US$15bn early of its total debt of US$40bn.
Kudrin said in February 2006 that Russia intends this year to pay off US$11-12bn ahead of schedule to the Paris Club creditors.
Kudrin said Russia's creditors were not enthusiastic about early repayments but that Russia expected to be able to make them all the same because of problems with the budgets in those countries. "We're confident of reaching an agreement," he said.
Kudrin said that US$11-12bn was practically all the Soviet-era debt that Russia could repay ahead of schedule to the Paris Club. Germany has issued its own notes for six billion Euro of the debt, and that debt must be paid as per the schedule, he said.
Kudrin said Russia expected to repay the debt on the same terms as in 2005, that is at face value. Russia should settle in full with all Paris Club creditor nations except Germany and possibly Switzerland, which rejected early debt payments in 2005.

« Top

FOREIGN INVESTMENT

Direct foreign investments in Russia double in Q1 

Direct foreign investments in the Russian economy grew 100 per cent in the first quarter of 2006, Interfax News Agency reported, citing Russian Economics Minister, German Gref. 
He attributed the rise to the good dynamics on the stock market. Gref said that oil prices grew approximately 20 per cent, from US$47.5 a barrel in April 2005 to US$65 this year. This is putting serious pressure on the monetary policy of the government, he said. Gref also reported a decline in inflation. He said that prices grew 0.3 per cent in the first 22 days of May. The economic development ministry estimates that inflation will remain at 0.4 per cent until the end of May. If inflation continues to slow down, the figure for the year won't exceed 9.3 per cent, Gref said. As for GDP, it went up 6.5 per cent in April and 4.1 per cent in the first four months of the year. The respective figures last year were 5.7 per cent and 5.2 per cent, Gref said. "In general, we are following the 2005 pattern, but the dynamics is positive," he added.

EBRD to double investments in Russia 

The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development announced recently it would double its investments in Russia over the next five years to assist the private sector and attract funds for the country's infrastructure projects, MosNews reported. 
Jean Lemierre, chairman of the bank said the increase in funding would rise from US$1.4 billion in 2005 to more than US$2.6 billion starting this year until 2010. These increases do not include the bank's loans and equity stakes, which will rise from US$5.5 billion this year to an estimated US$9.7 billion by 2010. "Our main priority is the infrastructure," Lemierre said. "There is a massive need for investments in roads, airports, ports - but also in the power sector and electricity grids. On the municipal level, there is a need for investments in urban transport, water, wastewater, district heating. The infrastructure will be the focus of our activities, but by also mobilising the private sector," he was quoted as saying. The increased funds for Russia, as well as the Western Balkan nations, will be diverted from the East European countries that joined the European Union two years ago. Under President Vladimir Putin of Russia, the huge windfalls from energy prices have gone not into infrastructure but into a Stabilisation Fund, used primarily to repay some of the US$40 billion Russia owes to the Paris Club group of creditors.

« Top

FOREIGN TRADE

Russian-Chinese trade may surge to US$40bn in 2006

Trade turnover this year between Russia and China may reach US$40bn, Kong Lirong, foreign investment department chief at the Chinese National Development and Reform Commission, said recently, New Europe reported.
At a meeting with a delegation of Russia media organisations in Beijing he said: "In the first quarter of 2006 Chinese foreign trade grew 25.8 per cent. Given the special relationship between China and Russia we can assume that this year trade between the two countries will grow more that 30 per cent. Thus, it may reach US$37-40bn." In 2005 bilateral trade jumped 27.1 per cent, against 2004.

« Top

MINERALS & METALS

Uralelektromed boosts Q1 earnings 330%

Uralelektromed, the flagship enterprise of Urals Mining and metallurgical Company (UMMC), boosted net profit 331 per cent year-on-year in the first quarter of 2006, New Europe reported.
The company, which specialises in refined copper and precious metals, said net profit was 918.241m roubles in the first quarter of 2006. Uralelektromed had net profit of 213.039m roubles in the same period of last year.
Net profit in the first quarter of 2006 was 77.57 per cent higher than the 517.107m roubles posted in the fourth quarter of 2005.
The company said this was because it increased sales of its own products, and it benefited from a rise in LME copper prices and price growth for precious metals.
Uralelektromed's assets grew 23.35 per cent during the quarter to just over 4.85bn roubles due to an increase in the value of fixed assets, higher inventory, work materials and incomplete construction and a reduction of long-term and short-term debt on loans.
The company's charter capital is 5,071,415 roubles, consisting of common shares, par value one rouble each. UMMC was the biggest shareholder with 80.92 per cent at the start of 2006.
Uralelektromed, capacity 350,000 tonnes of refined copper, has been part of UMMC since 1999. Uralelektromed's main production site is in the city of Verkhnaya, Pyshma, Sverdlovsk region. Uralelektromed also has a polymetals branch in Kirovograd, a nonferrous alloy branch in Verkh-Neivinsky, the Raduga packaging branch in Verkhnaya Pyshma and Safyanovskaya Med mining branch in the city of Rezh, Sverdlovsk region.

SUAL plans US$1.5bn smelter in Russian Far East 

SUAL-Holding plans to build an aluminium smelter that could cost in excess of US$1.5 billion in Russia's Far East, Vasily Kiselev, the number two Russian aluminium company's vice president, said on the sidelines of the Third Economic Forum in Krasnoyarsk, Interfax News Agency reported.
Kiselev said the company planned to identify four potential sites with electricity supplies close at hand for the smelter in July. He said new hydroelectric dams in the region might be used. They include the Bureiya, Nizhnaya Zeiya, Nizhnaya Bureiya and Southern Yakutia plants. "The smelter's capacity will depend on what energy is available," Interfax quoted him as saying. 
"For the time being we're looking at 300 tonnes per year and we made a pre-contractual inquiry to the hydro-generating company, the regional and federal authorities in the autumn of last year to allocate generating capacity for the smelter," Kiselev said. Kiselev told the forum that a similar smelter was being planned for the Urals as well. He said the Urals plant would differ from the Far Eastern one in that it might have power generating capacity of its own. For the time being the plans are for the smelter to be located close to the Troitskaya GRES power plant in the Chelyabinsk region, and talks on allocating capacity are in progress with the OGK-2 generating company.

Norilsk Nickel increases revenue 9% in Q1 

MMC Norilsk Nickel boosted non-consolidated revenue to Russian accounting standards nine per cent year-on-year in the first quarter of 2006 to 43.712 billion roubles, the Arctic mining and smelting giant said in a press release. The company has said it had a net loss of 22.63 billion roubles in the period, New Europe reported.
Net profit was 15.34 billion roubles in the first quarter of 2005. The company attributed the losses of the first quarter of 2006 to the cancellation of some of its shares.
Norilsk Nickel has reduced its charter capital by 11 per cent to 190,627,747 shares, par value one rouble each, after cancelling approximately five per cent that it purchased from shareholders who did not vote or who voted against spinning its gold mining assets off, and 5.8 per cent purchased during a buy-back. Mikhail Prokhorov, the Norilsk CEO, and Vladimir Potanin, head of the Interros holding, are the biggest beneficiaries with 27.39 per cent each.
It increased net profit to International Accounting Standards (IAS) 11.6 per cent year-on-year in the first half of 2005 to US$974 million. The company's dividend policy calls for 20-25 per cent of annual IAS net profit to be paid to shareholders, but Norilsk paid 28 per cent or 69.4 roubles a share for 2004.

« Top

MINING

Polyus to spend US$368m on exploration to 2010 

The board of directors at Polyus Gold approved a programme of geological exploration costing US$368 million to 2010 and the plans for developing the Verninskoye gold field in the Irkutsk region, Russia's number one gold producer said in a statement recently. The board also reviewed the draft version of the company's financial statement for 2005 and gave its approval on Polyus Gold's budget and business plan for the year 2006, New Europe reported.
Chairman of the Polyus Gold board, director general of MMC Norilsk Nickel, Mikhail Prokhorov, said "the meeting demonstrated a high level of involvement of all the directors into the decision making process and their commitment to promoting Polyus Gold as a world class public company." The company has almost completed the comprehensive and costly exploration of the Natalkinskoye deposit in the Magadan region.
Polyus is also conducting or planning to conduct exploration or further exploration in the Krasnoyarsk territory - at the Olimpiada, Blagodatnoye, Titimukhta, Olenye and Tyradinskoye deposits, and in Irkutsk region - at the Chertovo Koryto, Mukodekskoye and Verninskoye deposits. Pervenets, a unit of Polyus subsidiary Lenskaya Gold Mining Co., completed open-cast mining at the eponymous deposit in 2003. The deposit can be developed further with deep mining and by developing the nearby Verninskoye deposit.
Lenskaya general director Yury Loshakov said earlier that the Verninskoye mining complex, with annual capacity of five tonnes of gold, would come on stream in 2008. He estimated the cost of the project at 2.8 billion roubles.
Lenskaya, which was set up in 2004 to manage gold mining projects in the Irkutsk region, acquired 74 per cent of Pervenets in early 2005. OJSC Polyus Gold was formed in March 2006 as a result of the spin-off of MMC Norilsk Nickel's gold mining assets. Polyus Gold is the leading gold producer in Russia. The group's asset portfolio includes 20 hard rock gold deposits located in Krasnoyarsk, Irkutsk, Magadan, Yakutia and Amur regions of Russia. 
The company produced 1.1 million ounces of gold in 2005.

« Top

« Back

 


 
Published by 
Newnations (a not-for-profit company)
PO Box 12 Monmouth 
United Kingdom NP25 3UW 
Fax: UK +44 (0)1600 890774
enquiries@newnations.com