FREE GEOPOLITICAL NEWSLETTER

romania  

For current reports go to EASY FINDER

ROMANIA


 

 

In-depth Business Intelligence

Key Economic Data 
 
  2003 2002 2001 Ranking(2003)
GDP
Millions of US $ 60,358 44,428 38,700 52
         
GNI per capita
 US $ 2,310 1,850 1,720 100
Ranking is given out of 208 nations - (data from the World Bank)

Books on Romania

 


Update No: 127 - (19/12/07)

Romanian Centrist Party Fares Well
Recent elections to the EU Parliament held in Romania have been a litmus test of its troubled and faction-torn politics. After the glacial calm of communist-era politics (until the stormy end, that is in December,1989), it is as if the Romanians are revelling in their new-found freedom to the point of near-anarchy.
The centrist party of Romanian President Traian Basescu emerged strongest in elections for 35 representatives to the European Parliament, near final results showed on November 26. The victory was the first time since the 1989 anti-communist revolution that the leftist Social Democracy Party, the successor to the Communist Party, failed to win most votes in an election.
Mr. Basescu's Democratic Party was supported by 28.78% of voters, with more than 99% of the votes counted. The Social Democracy Party won 23.14%. 
The center-right party of Prime Minister Calin Popescu Tariceanu scored 13.45%.
The Liberal Democratic Party won about 7.78% and the party that represents the interests of 1.4 million ethnic Hungarians got 5.52%. No other parties scored more than the 5% needed to get into the Parliament. The ballot was the first time that Romanians have elected lawmakers to the European Parliament. The country joined the European Union on January 1, last year.
Turnout was just less than 29%. Nationalists fared poorly in the elections, and the leader of the Great Romania Party, Corneliu Vadim Tudor announced he would resign from Romania's Parliament. He will remain party leader.
Romanians also voted on whether to change their electoral system from casting ballots for party lists to one to select individual candidates. More than 80% voted for change; but the vote wasn't valid because turnout was below 50%.

A re-alignment of Romanian politics is in the offing. People are squaring off into two camps, one pro the president, the other pro the prime minister. 

New party formed out of two, the PD and the PLD 
The pro-presidential Democratic Party (PD) has announced its merger with the Liberal Democratic Party (PLD), also well disposed towards the president, to create the Democratic Liberal Party (PDL). The leaders of the two parties announced on December 3 that their groups will merge to form a new political party. Until internal elections take place, it will be lead by the former Democratic leader Emil Boc and by two vice-presidents: Theodor Stolojan of PLD and another PD designated one.

The two parties will organize extraordinary congresses in January to officially approve the fusion. The new party will be part of the European People's Party.

Talks of a merger first appeared more than a year ago, but were repeatedly shelved to allow PLD to run in the recent European Election on its own.

Both parties are known for their support of President Traian Basescu, who until becoming president was leader of the PD. PD was part of a governing alliance with the Liberals (PNL) until a political scandal followed by a reshuffle last spring, in which PD was removed from the government, now dominated by PNL.

For its part, PLD was formed last year by former elite members of the PNL, who were ousted from the party for their support for Basescu, who has been at loggerheads with PM Calin Popescu Tariceanu for a long while. 

According to insider sources, President Traian Basescu himself urged the fusion between the parties, known for their common support for the head of state. The Liberal vice-president Ludovic Orban says that “The President ordered, the two executed”, suggesting that the newborn party is the President’s satellite. 

Romanian libera quotes several politicians that argue that the decision did not come as a surprise, since the Liberal Democrats and Democrats alike were competing for the favours of the President. Thus, some argue that the newborn party is a natural step forward and that the name of the party should have been the Presidential Party.

Boc and PLD leader Stolojan said they joined forces to create a coherent, efficient and stable version of a centre-right party.

The centre-left reacts
Social Democratic opposition leader Mircea Geoana, according to one report, has opened talks with Liberal PM Tariceanu for a possible governing alliance. This, if true, is a clear reaction to the merger of the two centre-right parties.

According to another report, however, the governing Liberals avoided opening up talks with Social Democrats for a possible governing alliance, fearing that they would become a Trojan Horse of the President.

The Social Democrats, indeed, officially announced on December 3 that they would stick to the opposition, despite earlier rumours that talks were about to open on a possible partnership between them and the PNL. The Liberals distrust the Social Democrats and avoid any talks on the issue.

The main fear is that President Basescu would point a finger at the collaboration and accuse PM Tariceanu of holding his seat by any means possible. 

                                               ******

Social Democrat leader, Mircea Geoana has initiated talks with Romanian Liberal PM Tariceanu regarding a possible alliance.

Geoana was summoned by his party members to push their party into the government by December 3. As Tariceanu failed to offer seats to the Social Democrats, the Opposition party can opt for a tougher stand or a softer one against the government.

Social Democratic members favor a parliamentary protocol with the Liberals, as they wish for a long term collaboration. 

More in the news, it is alleged that several magistrates, policemen and ministers are about to receive social houses in Bucharest that should be built for the needy. There is published the list of people that will benefit from the social project. Among those, are high officials who hold offices in the current Liberal government, or other important names such as former police General Nicolae Avramescu.

Relations with Italy very tense
There is a big issue for Romania, which is causing headaches elsewhere. Its main problems have been crime and corruption, as with Bulgaria.

The level of crime has dipped in Bucharest and elsewhere since Romania joined the EU. But that is simply because Romanian crooks have decamped to other EU states on their new EU passports. Many have gone to Italy. Italian and Romanian languages share common Latin roots.

Romanians congregate in shanty towns outside the big cities, but travel into it to make a 'living.' There is a popular outcry and a demand for convicted crooks from abroad to be deported back. This is definitely directed at Romanians first and foremost.

After a spate of violent crimes committed by Romanian citizens, the Italian government is eager to look like it is doing something. Criminals deserve to be punished. But politicians' overly tough talk about deporting tens of thousands of fellow EU citizens is a regrettable attempt to ride a tide of anti-immigrant sentiment that's rising across Europe.

More than half a million Romanians have moved to Italy to seek work, roughly 1% of the population. Rome's mayor says three in four arrests made in his city so far this year were of Romanians. The rape and murder in October of a high-ranking navy officer's wife near an immigrant neighbourhood in the capital, for which a Romanian national has been charged, sent Italians into a frenzy. There have been media reports of vigilante mobs attacking innocent Romanians in retaliation. Officials in Milan have already shipped out four Romanian citizens and plan to deport a dozen more.

Demos in protest in Bucharest
Demonstrators have taken to the streets of Bucharest as tensions rise over Italy's plans to deport Romanian nationals. Romanian Prime Minister Calin Popescu Tariceanu discussed the situation with his Italian counterpart, Romano Prodi, when they met in Rome in mid-November. Bucharest is also sending 30 police officers to help deal with the Romanian cases.

The spate of felonies and atrocities has prompted Italy to bring in new laws aimed at tackling crime. "These measures specifically target those individuals about whom police have specific information which shows clearly that they are dangerous. It's not about mass expulsion," said Interior Minister Giuliano Amato.

Romania joined the EU in January this year and more than half a million of its citizens now live in Italy, many in makeshift camps like one near Rome. Around 20 have been sent home so far under the new crackdown. EU officials say Italy is within its rights to deport individuals provided it respects the bloc's criteria for expulsion.

Appeal to reason by intellectuals
Romanian and Italian intellectuals signed an open letter appealing to reason and responsibility as, they say, relations among the two countries have been getting more and more tense for weeks, while the Italian media instilled a negative sentiment against Romanians and Gypsies coming from Romania.

They warn that crimes committed by Romanians in Italy are dramatic cases indeed, but should be considered on an individual basis according to Italian law and the state of law.

The letter shows that politicians use the issue for political gains which only contributes substantially to over-emphasize the tensions and ethnic prejudices.

Intellectuals write that after several Romanians were randomly “punished” in several Italian cities the issue can get out of control. They plead for more responsibility from the mass media in reflecting the immigrants' deeds.

The open letter is signed by some 200 Romanian intellectuals.

Second referendum in 2007
Referenda are normally associated with dictatorships. They are sometimes used by democracies too. The second in Romania this year has just taken place. They must have become a preferred mechanism on double-checking political prowess in Romania, now that other tools to that effect have lost their sharpness.

It was something of a non-event. President Basescu acknowledged that he saw the low turnout in the uninominal voting referendum, which he strongly supported, as a lesson to be learned even for himself. The low turn-out disqualifies the result.

But he said the result - some 89% of the active voters supporting the introduction of uninominal voting - was proof of the inequity proven by the electoral laws used so far. He said he would not cease to believe that Romanians want a thorough reform of the political class.

President Basescu said that in the 12 new member states that have joined the EU since 2004, turnout was low in the first European elections. And he said Romania was falling right behind Hungary in terms of turnout because European issues have not been debated enough.

Democrats win EU poll
The referendum coincided with European Parliament elections. Romania's centrist opposition Democrat party won the country's first election to the European Parliament on November 25, underscoring its hopes of returning to power in next year's parliamentary polls.

The Democrat Party of President Traian Basescu won 31.7 percent of ballots. The vote for 35 deputies to the European assembly is seen as a litmus test of the popularity of leading political parties ahead of the general election, due to be held in late 2008. "We are the most important political force in Romania," said Democrat Party president Emil Boc.

Prime Minister Calin Tariceanu's ruling Liberal Party trailed the Democrats with 15.2 percent of the ballots. But their score was a touch above expectations for some 13 percent, showing stable backing over the last year.

Observers had expected the Liberals' standing to be eroded by disappointment over Bucharest's reform record which has lost momentum since Romania joined the European Union in January.

"It is a wonderful evening for the Liberal Party because we managed to overcome expectations," the prime minister said.

Bucharest's centrists, who came to power in 2004 on an anti-graft ticket, were praised initially for introducing broad justice and institutional reforms that won Romania EU entry after botched attempts by other post-communist governments.

Battle-lines drawn up
The president and prime minister, with the parliament, were at odds on the constitutionality of holding two separate votes at a time. The Romanian president insisted that the referendum be held on the same date as EP elections as this would save in costs and time to the people.

Suffice to say, the president survived the parliament-called impeachment vote earlier this year. His uncompromising stance on fighting corruption and establishing an independent judiciary, which he carried out together with Ms Macovei, his corruption-fighting ministerial weapon, ushered Romania into the European Union (EU). This is an achievement that a largely pro-EU population are unlikely to forget. Especially given that EU entry took place not so long ago.

At present, the president feels the pressure from parliament and government. Tariceanu’s Liberals currently have the upper edge owing to the coalition with the party of the ethnic Hungarians, which traditionally serve as the fixture for governmental coalitions.

With the political infighting ongoing and Tariceanu’s Liberals unrelenting in their attempts to oust a public-supported foe from the political arena, Basescu continues the counter-strategy for a more Basescu-friendly parliament from these general elections onwards.

At the same time, Tariceanu’s government has been losing out on public and expert support. Poverty levels in the country are still high, a couple of ministers have lost their seats after corruption scandals. Within a year, the country’s budget has suffered a downslide from surplus to deficit and is set to reach 3.1 per cent of GDP in an overshoot of the Maastricht threshold for entry to the Eurozone, a critical governmental promise. Things look bleak for the incumbent government.

« Top