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KAZAKSTAN


 

 

In-depth Business Intelligence

Key Economic Data 
 
  2003 2002 2001 Ranking(2003)
GDP
Millions of US $ 29,749 24,205 22,400 60
         
GNI per capita
 US $ 1,780 1,510 1,350 119
Ranking is given out of 208 nations - (data from the World Bank)

Books on Kazakstan

REPUBLICAN REFERENCE

Area (sq.km) 
2,717,300 

Population
15,143,704

Principal 
ethnic groups 
Kazaks 44.3%
Russians 35.8%
Ukrainians 5.1%
Germans 3.6%
and many others

Capital 
Astana
(formerly Akmola)

Currency
Tenge

President 
Nursultan Nazarbayev




Update No: 304 - (28/04/06)

The Kazak Khan of Central Asia
Nursultan Nazarbayev, President of Kazakstan, is in an enviable position for a post-Soviet leader. His nation is awash with energy reserves and other mineral resources, of which it has no less than 60% of the former USSR's total.
The Kazak economy is the fastest growing in the world, GDP rising by 10% per annum on average since 2000, the year global energy prices took off. Like Putin's Russia, Kazakstan is reaping vast revenues which can be used to renovate the decrepit infrastructure and despoiled environment inherited from communist days. 
Both countries are embarking on a massive programme of public works, which open up huge opportunities for enterprising private firms abroad (see Russia May).

Transport strategy until 2015 unfolded
As part of this, Nazarbayev has approved a Transport Strategy of his republic until 2015. The government has been ordered to work out and approve a plan of events on the strategy's implementation. The government has to inform the President of Kazakstan on the strategy implementation each year by January 30th. 
The strategy includes construction of 50 thousand km of roads, around 2 thousand km of railways, to develop Aktau and Kuryk ports, and to build up a fleet of aircraft.

Cosying up to Putin
Russian President, Vladimir Putin, and President Nazarbayev discussed bilateral and multilateral integration in a phone conversation on April 12th, the Kremlin press service said on the same day, in the context of the recent visit of the president of Kazakstan to Russia. 
President Nursultan Nazarbayev had made a two-day official visit to Moscow on April 3rd-5th, focusing on economic ties, scientific research including space, and bilateral cultural links. In 
Moscow Nazarbayev met with Putin, and delivered an address to the lower house of parliament, the State Duma. 
The countries signed protocols on the use of Russian military and research testing grounds and centres on Kazak territory. Nazarbayev's visit also saw the signing of an agreement on the launch of the first Kazak telecoms satellite, KAZSAT. 
Trade between Russia and Kazakstan currently totals US$10 billion, but the country's two leaders hope to double the figure in the near future.

Playing the Chinese card
Of even more importance to Kazakstan in the long run is its other giant neighbour, China, which is going to require its energy and minerals to an increasing degree.
Nazarbayev will pay an official visit to China this autumn. An agreement about the organisation of the visit was reached at talks between Kassymzhomart Tokayev, Foreign Minister of Kazakstan, with top officials of PRC in Beijing, Kazakstan Today reports, citing the foreign ministry of Kazakstan. 
"The next meeting at the top level will give an impact to the strategic partnership between the two states," - representatives of Kazakstan and China believe. "Development of the relationship with China is by all means a priority of our foreign politics and the level of mutual understanding and confidence is one of the determining factors of the regional security," - Mr. Tokayev stressed at his meeting with the State Council member Tang Jiaxuan. "Kazakstan and China are close and friendly countries, their relationship is constantly progressing due to efforts of the leaders of both states," - he observed. 
Tang Jiaxuan in his turn noted that the state policies of China concerning Kazakstan as a key state in the vast Central Asian region is based on long term the strategic interests of Beijing and is not subject to any fickle short-term trends.

Kazakstan may achieve a lofty goal relying on its intellectual potential
The political regime in Kazakstan is very tight. But given the economic dynamism, Nazarbayev is genuinely rather popular and was re-elected easily last year not withstanding substantial vote fraud. This has emboldened him to embark on certain reforms of the polity.
The State Commission on Democratic Reform Programme's Development and Specification started its work in March in the capital, Astana. The Commission is proposing to develop a nationwide dialogue on issues concerning the modernization of the political system and deepening of the country's democratic reforms. 
Delivering an address at the 1st session its chairman, President Nazarbayev outlined the strategic priorities for the further development of political reforms: "We strongly vow to continue the consistent political reformation and the country's political modernization," Nursultan Nazarbayev noted. "Our ultimate goal is constant - to strengthen the principles of an open, democratic and law-governed state with generally recognized democratic objective laws, such as traditions of the multinational and multi-confessional society." Addressing the members of the Commission the Head of the State summoned them for active and constructive work at the most important issues of the country's political modernization, highlighting the role of the leadership of political parties, public alliances and NGOs. Observers are not holding their breath that democracy in this vast central Asian state has much chance of making progress, given the apparent building up of a government apparatus ensuring that power and ultimate wealth resides with the President's family.

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ENERGY

Kazak refineries to be exhausted by 2015 


The capacity of Kazakstan's oil refineries could be exhausted by 2015, the energy and mineral resource ministry said. "Three or four years ago we forecast the refining capacity would last to about 2018. But things have changed. Now the forecast is that by 2015 we'll exhaust the capacity of plants to supply the domestic market," head of the oil industry at the ministry, Musabek Isayev, said at a refining conference in Almaty, Interfax News Agency reported.
I nterfax quoted him as saying it's time to think about how to increase oil refinement in Kazakstan. Isayev said the ministry expects oil refinement this year to be 12 million tonnes, 15.7 million tonnes in 2010, and 17.7-18 million tonnes in 2015. Kazakstan has three large refineries in Chimkent, Pavlodar, and Atyrau, he said. It also has another 13 mini refineries. "But they are producing unsteadily when they receive oil," he said. "Kazakstan is in the centre of the Eurasian continent and has unlimited opportunity to sell petroleum products in Central Asia," he said.

KazMunaiGas wants to buy refinery in Europe

The main oil intrigue in Kazakstan lately has been KazMunaiGaz' battle for the shares of Lithuanian Mazeikiu Nafta. The bets for victory have been swinging from the Kazak national oil and gas company to Polish Orlen, New Europe reported.
However, in this situation, another equally important question remains: where to get the money, and serious money, in the case of victory?
"From the beginning we have intended to win," KazMunaiGaz President, Uzakbai Karabalin, said, responding to a question from New Europe about their chances in the competition for Mazeikiu Nafta shares.
And so intent on winning in its long desire to "open a window to Europe" KazMunaiGaz will spare no effort. It's worth mentioning that in light of the latest events the management of the Kazak company said it was ready to buy not only the 53.7 per cent of shares from YUKOS, but also 20 per cent of the Lithuanian share, and also at the market price. Thus, its proposed price for the Lithuanian plant has now grown from US$1.2bn to 1.65bn.
Considering that last year the company had "serious acquisitions" in the form of return of once sold BG shares, a quite reasoned question arises: "How does KazMunaiGaz plan to pay for the purchase of Mazeikiu shares?" KazMunaiGaz president responded: "We'll always find money for a good cause!"
One of the sources of funding could be sale of shares of A KazMunaiGaz subsidiary. It is known that the national company intends to put up for sale 49 per cent of one of its main subsidiaries - AO "Exploration Production" - at an international stock exchange. However, this is a rather lengthy process and the money for Mazeikiu will be required pretty soon. So this scenario is definitely out.
The company may use its own funds. Thus, KazMunaiGaz' net profit in 2005 was over 101bn tenge (approximately US$800m). But even if they use their entire profit for the acquisition, it will not be enough, because there are production costs, salaries, social contributions, etc. And properly speaking, such major deals are never paid with own money. "Undoubtedly, we are going to borrow," Karabalin explained.
In such case, another question arises: "What will be provided as collateral?" "It will depend on the conditions of the bank," Karabalin said without specifying what would be pledged as security.
But, as a rule, the foreign banks are very cooperative with oil companies, and often the oil produced, or rather the oil to be produced, is used as collateral. And KazMunaiGaz would get a loan at a very low interest rate.
The case with Mazeikiu is more complicated. It is known that Vilnius itself intends to buy YUKOS' shares and not without a help from KazMunaiGaz. Litavos Ritas recently reported that the Lithuanian government could receive a loan from KazMunaiGaz to buy YUKOS' shares.
That news, with a reference to anonymous sources, appeared in the Lithuanian paper just after another trip of Uzakbai Karabalin to Vilnius and his meeting with Prime Minister, Aldgirdas Brazauskas.
The same Litavos Ritas, also with a reference to anonymous sources, reported that "the Lithuanian government would not object to the Kazak company taking over the management of Mazeikiu Nafta."
Not to miss out on the attractive deal for KazMunaiGaz, the Kazak government is at the same time working on another question of equal importance - secured supplies of oil to Lithuania, which is one of the main tender conditions. The Kazak Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources, Baktykozha Izmukhambetov, told New Europe about a planned visit to Moscow this year, "We are going to discuss with Viktor Khristenko, Industry and Energy Minister, possible supplies of our oil by the Transneft system." That is, this question still remains open, Russia has not made a final decision yet. "There is still a chance for us," said Izmukhambetov. "And it is more realistic for us than for the Polish company that has none of its own crude. And the purchase of oil through the port of Butinge, which is the Polish scenario, is not the best solution and it does not guarantee that they can easily buy oil there and secure necessary supplies for the plant."
Should KazMunaiGaz lose in the Mazeikiu tender, it will not give up its idea to "open a window in Europe." It has every intention to take a shot at anything that would mean a realistic opportunity to buy a refinery.

Kazakstan ups hydrocarbon reserve forecast for KSCS 

The Kazak Energy and Mineral Resources ministry has increased the forecast for hydrocarbon reserves in the Kazak sector of the Caspian Sea (KSCS). KSCS reserves (excluding reserves developed within the North-Caspian project) are currently estimated at 11.563 billion tonnes of hydrocarbons, Amantai Suesinov, the deputy director of the ministry's oil industry department said in Aktau, reported Interfax News Agnecy.
Energy ministry specialists carried out the estimate on the basis of new data on the deposits in the KSCS, he said at public hearings on valuating the impact on the environment of planned oil operations in the KSCS.
Geological reserves within the North-Caspian project are estimated at 5.45 billion tonnes (with recoverable reserves of 2.24 billion tonnes), including fields and structures: Kashagan - 4.85 billion tonnes (2.02 billion), Aktote - 269 million tonnes (100 million), Kalamkas - 159 million (57 million), Kairan - 150 million (56 million) and Kashagan Southwest - 20 million tonnes (six million tonnes). Earlier, Kazakstan's former energy minister Vladimir Shkolnik said according to ministry data, hydrocarbon reserves under the Caspian Sea are estimated at 125 billion barrels overall.
In the context of territorial jurisdiction, these can be distributed in the following way: Azerbaijan - 27 billion barrels, Iran - 7.5 billion, Kazakstan - 50-60 billion, Turkmenistan - 16 billion, and Russia - 15 billion barrels. Shkolnik said hydrocarbon reserves in the KSCS were "distributed unevenly." The Northern part of the KSCS may contain up to 48 billion barrels, the central part - 7.5 billion and the southern part - four billion barrels. Evaluating Kashagan included 3D seismic exploration of 1,573 square kilometres and the drilling of six wells, Suesinov said. 
Another four wells are to be drilled in 2006-2008 in the western part of the field and the isthmus area.
For the Kalamkas structures, 3D seismic exploration was carried out on 1,187 square kilometres and the data obtained is currently being processed. Drilling on two Kalamkas wells was completed in 2005 and the well Kalamkas-3 is to be drilled in 2006. Drilling of the Aktote-2 well has been completed and 3D seismic exploration was carried out on 362 square kilometres. At Kairan, 3D seismic exploration was carried out on 245 square kilometres.
Kairan-2 well is to be drilled in 2006. For the Kashagan Southwest structure, 3D seismic exploration is planned in 2011-2012 with final data processing due in 2015.
Kazakstan approved a three-stage government programme for developing the KSCS to 2015 in 2003, Suesinov said. Stage one, from 2003-2005, envisaged the creation of conditions for the development of hydrocarbon reserves in the Caspian Sea; stage two, from 2006-2010 - ensure faster development of these reserves and stage three, from 2011-2015 - stabilise oil production at an optimum level. 
Two artificial islands were built in the KSCS in 2003-2005 and 19 wells were drilled, of which four were operational and the rest were for exploration and evaluation, Suesinov said. Investment in this period was 3.8 billion Euro.
The construction of 16 installations and drilling of 144 wells is envisaged for 2006-2010, he said. Investment in this period will total about 12.9 billion Euro.
The construction of 38 installations and 469 wells is planned for 2011-2015 and investment should total about 16.8 billion Euro, he said. About three million tonnes of oil per year is to be produced in the KSCS by 2008, about 18 million tonnes by 2010 and around 90 million tonnes by 2015.

KazMunaiGaz oil, condensate production up 1.8% in 2 mths 

Kazakstan's national oil and gas company KazMunaiGaz produced 1.491 million tonnes of oil and gas condensate in the first two months of the year, up 1.8 per cent from the same period last year, the company said in a press release. Oil production grew through the use of new technology to increase oil recovery, according to the press release. Oil transport in the KazTransOil system grew 7.9 per cent to 6.494 million tonnes. The company is the transport unit of KazMunaiGaz. Gas transport by Intergas Central Asia, another KazMunaiGaz unit, totalled 22.85 billion cubic metres, up 4.4 percent year-on-year. Oil transport is planned at 36.6 million tonnes and gas at 123.2 billion cubic metres this year. Capital investment by KazMunaiGaz totalled 9.289 billion tenge in the first two months, up 40 per cent from the same period last year. That included 8.583 billion tenge invested in production. Earnings totalled 118.6 billion tenge, up 51.4 percent year-on-year.

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TRANSPORT

Kazakstan unveils national transport strategy 

Kazakstan's Transport and Communications Minister, Askar Mamin, presented the country's national transport strategy for the period ending 2015 to President Nursultan Nazarbayev. The strategy provides for the building of over 50,000 kilometres of motorways and about 2,000 kilometres of railways, Mamin said, Interfax News Agency reported.
The Caspian ports of Aktau, Bautino and Kuryk will also be developed, and serious attention will be given to aircraft-building, the minister said. "In fact, we plan to devote the next 10 years to the construction of an effective transport infrastructure," Mamin said.

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