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TURKMENISTAN


 

 

In-depth Business Intelligence

Key Economic Data 
 
  2003 2002 2001 Ranking(2003)
GDP
Millions of US $ 6,010 7,672 4,000 110
         
GNI per capita
 US $ 1,120 1,200 950 131
Ranking is given out of 208 nations - (data from the World Bank)

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REPUBLICAN REFERENCE

Area (sq.km) 
488,100 

Population 
4,863,169 

Principal 
ethnic groups 
Turkmens 77%
Uzbeks 9.2%
Russians 6.7%

Capital 
Ashkhabad 

Currency 
Turkman Manat

President 
Saparmurat Niyazov


Update No: 292 - (26/04/05)

No fall-out likely from Kyrgyz developments
The Tulip Revolution in Kyrgyzstan raises the question of whether something similar could happen in other Central Asian states. Not in Turkmenistan, one can be sure.
Turkmenistan's president, Sapurmarat Niyazov, now known by the title, Turkmenbashi, has made himself president-for-life and has absolute control over all media and law enforcement structures in the country. The situation makes it simply impossible for any opposition to organize mass rallies and create a popular movement.
If a change of government were to take place there it would be more likely to happen in a palace coup than through a popular movement. An attempt of this kind was made on his life in November 2003, but it failed.
Even more repressive measures can be expected from Niyazov, a very primitive type.

Gas developments
Everything in Turkmenistan depends on the export of two vital commodities, gas and cotton. There are important developments impending as regards gas, of which it has the world's fourth largest reserves.
The agreement to supply gas to Ukraine expires next year. This has been at very low prices, around a quarter of world levels. With energy now so dear, Niyazov will certainly want to jump the price.
This is especially so as he has lost out yet again in an effort to diversify the export route, which is exclusively via Russia at present, a truly colonial pipeline. A few years ago Turkmenistan was in negotiation with the Western majors to build a gas pipeline under the Caspian Sea, permitting export to Azerbaijan and beyond to Turkey, who had a major energy requirement then. It fell through because of their disgust with his impossible negotiating attitude and his arrogant demeanour. A tyrant he undoubtedly is, but a negotiator - never. Absolute power has absolutely corrupted him. 
Such considerations do not weigh with the present Iranian leadership. There were talks with Tehran about a Turkmen pipeline through Iran to Pakistan and India. This now looks likely to fall through. Iranian gas is now to be routed via Pakistan to India after an agreement reached by President Musharraf of Pakistan and prime minister Singh of India, in the conclusion of a cricket match between their two countries in mid-April. 
Another mooted pipeline from Turkmenistan was to have traversed Afghanistan to Pakistan and onwards to India, but international finance to build the pipeline was unable to justify the risks of such an investment in barely pacified Afghanistan. So his vast supplies of gas are destined to be carried only by Russia through their existing pipeline at a price that they know he has to accept.

Can the loser survive?
Niyazov makes blunder after blunder, yet survives. Can it go on indefinitely?
The answer would appear to be 'Yes.' He is not going to make the ultimate mistake of the Argentinian Junta, or the Greek colonels, or Saddam, and start attacking anyone. The borders are hermetically sealed. The show will go on.
And a show is exactly what it is.
He is a very strange tyrant, who has delusions of grandeur, and shows signs of having lost his marbles. He has embarked on a series of bizarre, but grandiose building projects, such as a huge hippodrome (Turkmenistan does, indeed, have splendid horses, one of which was given to John Major in the mid-1990s, who handed it on to Princess Anne), vast public buildings, a giant ice-house in the middle of the desert and other follies.
As founder and president of the Association of Turkmens of the World, Mr. Niyazov holds the official title of Turkmenbashi, father of all ethnic Turkmen. This arouses the scorn of other Turkic peoples, particularly in Turkey proper whose own 'father of the nation,' Kemal Attaturk, properly has such a distinction. 
Like all primitive types, Niyazov is in love with gilt and giganticism. A 20-foot high gilt statue of himself in the centre of his capital, is guarded by soldiers 24 hours a day. It slowly rotates on its axis so that it is always facing the sun. Huge portraits of Niyazov are everywhere; schoolchildren have to intone devotional verses to their leader while looking at his image every morning. The daily oath goes: "Turkmenistan, my beloved motherland.... At the moment of my betrayal of my motherland, to her sacred banner, to Saparmurat Turkmenbashi, let my breath stop."
In the late 1990s a grey-haired Niyazov said on television "we are a great people and therefore it is important for us to have a handsome president. From now on, I will dye my hair black." This involved a lot of retouching to existing portraits. It was not a self parody but deadly serious. The man is in fact humourless and deeply sinister. 

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ENVIRONMENT

Turkmenistan kicks off ecological projects


Under the Caspian Ecologic Programme, many new projects worth US$60m were started in the western region of Turkmenistan, Turkmenistan.ru reported recently.
The aim of the Caspian Ecologic programme is to improve ecology in the regions adjoining the Caspian Sea, protection of environment and preservation of unique biological resources of the Caspian Sea.
The United Nations Development Programme and the UN office for project services provide funds for the winners of grant projects. The Programme of Small Joint Grants has supported a project of artificial cultivation of Artemia crabs, the valuable biomass for feeding whitebait fish, shrimps, crayfish and aquarium fish, in the natural depressions of the Caspian Sea near Garabogazgol straits.
A newly set up farm of GarabogazArtemia closed joint stock company will produce some 8-10 tonnes of high quality biomass for realisation inside the country and export. The Programme of Small Joint Grants has offered US$30m to the Turkmen Association of Environment Protection to solve the problem of water supply in the village of Guyjik in the southwestern part of the Caspian region.
The project provides for the construction of the water demineraliser fitted with modern equipment that would produce good drinking water for some 3,000 villagers.
Several applications lined up for the next grants of the Caspian Ecologic Programme are in progress. They are designed to promote rational use of the natural resources of the Caspian region, create new sources of life support for inhabitants of the sea region and enhance ecological education of people of various walks of life.

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FOREIGN COOPERATION

Niyazov, Iranian ambassador discuss bilateral summit

Turkmen President, Saparmurat Niyazov, and Iran's Ambassador to Ashgabat, Golamreza Ansary, met on March 28th to discuss issues related to the Turkmen-Iranian summit scheduled for April 12th, Turkmenistan.ru quoted the press service of the head of state as saying. 
The next meeting between Niyazov and Iranian President, Mohammad Khatami, was timed for the inauguration of the largest joint project, a dam with symbolic name "Dostluk" (Friendship) on the border river of Tejen. The water reservoir is designed to play a major role in the successful development of agriculture in the border areas of Turkmenistan and Iran. The head of the diplomatic mission of Iran presented the president of Turkmenistan with the official letter from the ex-President of Iran, Hashemi Rafsanjani, who currently heads the consultative council of Iran.

Pakistan targets strategic partnership with Turkmenistan

Pakistan regards Turkmenistan as an important strategic partner on a bilateral and regional scale, Pakistan Ambassador to Turkmenistan, Raana Rahim, said recently. The ambassador said that relations between the two countries "can exemplify the successful mutually advantageous cooperation." While stressing the importance of realisation of the Trans-Afghan gas pipeline project, Rahim underlined that the implementation of this large-scale project would enhance both the economic prosperity of peoples in the region and strengthen political stability. She added that full mutual understanding and confidence had been were established between the leaders of both countries and this fact predetermined a great deal in their relations.

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FOREIGN TRADE

Turkmenistan foreign trade turnover reaches US$632m

Turkmen foreign trade turnover amounted to US$632m in January 2004, up 7.2% year-on-year, leaving a foreign trade surplus at US$104m, the national institute of statistics and information said recently, Turkmenistan.ru reported.
Turkmenistan's exports stood at US$368m in January, up 1% on the same period of last year. Turkmenistan exported to 35 countries; exports to Iran and the United States increased in the reported period. Meanwhile, Turkmenistan imported from 63 countries. Turkmenistan's imports accounted for US$264m in the first month of 2005, an increment of 17% over the last year.

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