Mrs Vaira Vike-Freiberga
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After a brief period of independence between the two World Wars, Latvia was annexed by the USSR in 1940. It reestablished its independence in 1991 following
the breakup of the Soviet Union. Although the last Russian troops left in 1994, the status of the Russian minority (some 30% of the population) remains of
concern to Moscow. Latvia continues to revamp its economy for eventual integration into various Western European political and economic institutions.
Update No: 255
It looks as if a political revolution may be in the offing in Latvia. A new centre-right pro-business political party was officially registered on February
20th, with a head start in opinion polls ahead of parliamentary elections due in October. Simeon II, the former king of Bulgaria, has shown what can be done
in a few months in a transition economy if a new party has a charismatic leader; he swept to power in Sofia last year only months after forming his national
In Latvia's case the key figure is Einars Repse, who was the central bank chief from independence in 1991 until December when he resigned to form his party,
New Time. He has been effectively the most important figure in Latvian politics for a decade, the unchanging fulcrum of the whole reform programme, while
governments have been and gone. He can, therefore claim much of the credit for the achievements of the last ten years, which have been remarkable. This puts
him in a different position from any other opposition politician or, indeed, any politician in Latvia. He clearly feels the time is coming when he should
enter centre stage, having left behind a chief to succeed him at the central bank and a team under him totally loyal to his ideas, which are orthodox
The Latvian republic's economy under Repse's tutelage was doing remarkably well. It is still doing so. Growth of GDP is set for 4.5% in 2002, after 7.9% in
2001, according to the EU, but the IMF puts growth at 6% for both 2001 and 2002, which shows how the figures should be treated warily.
The growth is coming from the starting point of a very low base, its GDP per capita being 6,600 Euros or 29% of the EU average. But that very fact is luring
foreign investors, attracted by low wages for highly educated workers (the one solid achievement of communism was excellent education).
The stock of direct foreign investment (FDI) to date is US$4.2bn, a high figure for a nation of two and a half million. The investment has been across the
board, taking advantage of Latvia's superb location as the natural Baltic gateway to and from Russia.
The local Russians comprise one third of the population and predominate in the main six towns, including the capital, Riga. Hence the main internal problem is
inter-ethnic relations. Latvia has far more Russians than neighbouring Estonia or Lithuania, precisely because of its excellent location and ports for trade.
The Latvians were discriminating against local Russians throughout the 1990s. But their Western friends have persuaded them subsequently to take a more
accommodating line. It is, therefore, inappropriate for Putin, who tried to rouse up the Russians there by an inflammatory interview on Christmas Eve, to be
making an issue of the matter now, especially given his own dicey record on human rights.
The IMF regards Latvia as a model performer among transition economies and it is now in a leading position among the EU candidate countries. Inflation is
estimated at 2.5% for 2001 and 3% for 2002, well within acceptable limits. The prospects look excellent for this small, but strategically-placed Baltic
Minister stands by forecast
The country's finance minister said he was sticking by his forecast of 6% economic growth this year, disagreeing with the central bank and the International
Monetary Fund, both of which see this as too optimistic, The Wall Street Journal Europe has reported.
"As a minister of finance I am sometimes accused of being too optimistic, but until now the forecasts of the Ministry of Finance, even when they seemed at the
beginning to be unrealistic, have always come true afterwards," Gundars Berzins said.
Mr Berzins predicted the current-account gap would remain fairly high for some time, but he also forecast progress in reining in the budget shortfall and
cited strong foreign investment.
FOREIGN ECONOMIC RELATIONS
Riga, Tehran in quest to booster bilateral relations
The Latvian Deputy Foreign Minister, Peters Vyvares, recently held talks in Tehran with Foreign Minister, Kamal Kharrazi, on ways to develop Tehran-Riga
relations, IRNA News Agency reported on February 25th. Vyvares said that Iran has a special role to play in the regional and international developments and
hoped that serious steps would be taken to develop bilateral relations.
He said that the Islamic Republic of Iran enjoys high economic capacity and Latvia is keen to develop economic cooperation with Iran. Kharrazi said that
Iran is also interested in fostering economic cooperation with Latvia. He said that Tehran and Riga have historical and cultural amity and called for
boosting parliamentary cooperation between the two countries.
Riga Free Port ends agreement with Uksoil
Riga Free Port's board decided on February 22nd to terminate the lease agreement over a 30 hectare sector at Krievu Island with the joint-stock company Uksoil
that intended to construct one of the world's largest mineral fertiliser plants there. The Riga Free Port terminated the agreement because no economic
activity had taken place at the territory for several years.
Uksoil must submit in new proposals within one month about its further work so that the agreement can be reinstated, LETA News Agency quoted the Port Board
chairman, Gundars Jobar's press secretary, Guntars Kukuls as saying. Uksoil said it could begin construction of a large-scale mineral fertiliser plant and
terminal on Krievu Island in the territory of Riga port by mid-April. The new facility would produce 865,000 tones of crystallised carbide annually and export
the commodity through the terminal to South America and Asia. The project could cost about US$500m, said Uksoil's vice chairman of the board, Sergei
Nasonov. The company's average turnover would be about US$150m. The plant would be dissembled after 25 years of operation according to global practice.
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